Map Last Updated 8/12/2024

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There is a notable LACK of polling going on at the state level between Harris and Trump.
The states that are polled are done so repeatedly and the states that aren't polled tell you a lot about where the truth truly lies.

California
Colorado
Connecticut
Deleware
Hawaii
Illinois
Maryland
Massachusetts
Rhode Island
Vermont
DC

Alabama
Alaska
Arkansas
Idaho
Indiana
Iowa
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisianna
Maine
Mississippi
Missouri
Nebraska
New Jersey
North Dakota
Oklahoma
South Carolina
South Dakota
Tennessee
Texas
Utah
West Virginia
Wyoming

Minnesota?
New Hampshire, I believe is leaning towards Trump but will keep it as toss up to be conservative
* Michigan Wisconsin has been very heavily canvassed and I suspect are in favor of Trump.

*Connecticut


*Connecticut & New York:
(I am not satisfied with the low-quality public polling here. I suspect it is a tight race as both candidates have been campaigning there.)
I suspect these states are tighter/leaning R more than we are being told. There has also been a noticeable lack of polling in certain areas that is suspicious, and an abundance of polling in other areas that is also suspicious.
Last updated: 9/8/2024 @ 6:30PM

Harris struggles to win over male voters in key states (thehill.com)
Where Has All the Polling Gone? | Polling+ (pollingplus.com)
The Women Trump Is Winning - The Atlantic
Half of Gen Z has "very little" trust in the presidency: poll (axios.com)
Trump’s 2024 YouGov polling numbers are blowing his YouGov 2020 numbers *out of the water*:
.....................2020--------->2024
Hispanic: 32% ----> now 41%
Black:............9% -----------> 17%
Men: ..........44% -----------> 54%
Women: ..37% -----------> 44%
Seniors: ...45% -----------> 57%
Harris makes gains in Latino voter support but many are still in play: new poll (msn.com)
Black Voters For Trump Will More Than Triple, Poll Indicates (msn.com)
Biden’s Lead With Women Is Smaller Than Trump’s With Men - The New York Times
Could a slip of Jewish voters toward Trump impact the election? – The Forward
Majority of New York Jewish voters intend to vote for Trump: poll | National Post


Trump and Harris Neck and Neck After Summer Upheaval, Times/Siena Poll Finds - The New York Times
(Trump +2)
Where Has All the Polling Gone? | Polling+ (pollingplus.com)
Nate Silver Drops Another Election Forecast, and the Left Should Be Nervous – PJ Media
Harris doesn't get convention bounce, but widens gap with women: POLL - ABC News
Election 2024: Trump 48%, Harris 46% - Rasmussen Reports®
Trump's national lead over Biden grows — CBS News poll - CBS News
National Polls | FiveThirtyEight

(This has been on my to do list so I was excited to see that someone already did it.
Suddenly, it’s Republicans who stand to gain from expanding the vote (msn.com)
Blue state wipes away residency requirement for voter registration (bizpacreview.com)

Trump is dominating. I haven't found a Harris in the lead yet.
We're non-partisan, famous MN bakery says as Trump-Harris cookie poll goes viral
Kretchmar’s Bakery to conduct Presidential Election Cookie Poll
2020 didn't forecast correctly LOL
Busken cookie poll, predictor of all but 1 president since '84, opens
The only one it was wrong on was 2020. I bet it wasn't actually wrong...LOL
A Cincinnati bakery is going viral for its 'crumby' presidential cookie poll
Cookie Poll Happening Now at Award-Winning Bakery in Minnesota
A Hatboro, Pa. bakery known for its election cookie poll is swamped with orders - WHYY
Red Wing bakery announces Week 1 results of its 2024 presidential cookie poll (msn.com)
"Trump is leading the poll with 314 cookies to Harris' 192 cookies"

How Popular Is Joe Biden? | FiveThirtyEight
Aug 4, 2024 Disapprove 55.8% +18
Kamala Harris : Approval Polls | FiveThirtyEight
Aug 10, 2024 Disapprove 48.9% +14.2
Donald Trump : Favorability Polls | FiveThirtyEight
Aug 10, 2024 Unfavorable 51.6% +8.2

Republicans sue to purge at least 500,000 people from Arizona’s voter rolls (tucsonsentinel.com)
Almost 1 million Florida voters declared inactive after law purging voter lists - WMNF 88.5 FM
RI election officials to begin latest voter roll clean-up (msn.com)
Voter list maintenance | MIT Election Lab
Supreme Court Gives States the Green Light to Clean Up Voter Rolls | The Heritage Foundation
Judicial Watch lawsuit seeks to purge Pa. voter rolls - WHYY
Georgia removes more than 100,000 names from voter registration rolls | CNN Politics
Roughly 206K People Removed From Wisconsin Voter Rolls In Routine Maintenance - WPR
The Republican National Committee sues Michigan over the state's voter rolls (nbcnews.com)

Home - ERIC, Inc. (ericstates.org)
Electronic Registration Information Center (ERIC) - Ballotpedia
Florida, Missouri, West Virginia pull out of ERIC voter group : NPR
Virginia is the eighth Republican-led state to leave ERIC : NPR
ERIC loses another GOP state as Ohio departs voter compact : NPR
DeSantis wants to target voter fraud. So why did Florida leave ERIC? (tallahassee.com)
"may have" leaked data to third parties that was then "used for partisan activities."